Futurology http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , Emerging technologies - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
Sep 15, 2011
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pstp emtech Emerging technologies in general denote significant technological developments that broach new territory in some significant way in their field. Examples of currently emerging technologies include information technology, nanotechnology, biotechnology, cognitive science, robotics, and artificial intelligence.[2] 8 -22 sort http://www.gartner.com/newsroo...
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pstp biol http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , Biotechnology draws on the pure biological sciences (genetics, microbiology, animal cell culture, molecular biology, biochemistry, embryology, cell biology) and in many instances is also dependent on knowledge and methods from outside the sphere of biology (chemical engineering, bioprocess engineering, information technology, biorobotics). Conversely, modern biological sciences (including even concepts such as molecular ecology) are intimately entwined and dependent on the methods developed through biotechnology and what is commonly thought of as the life sciences industry. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Intelligence amplification http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... distribution of? , 9 -24 Andrew McAfee: Are droids taking our jobs? http://www.ted.com/talks... Speech recognition http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 8 -28 http://www.bloomberg.com/news... , 3 -29 sort to ? http://www.youtube.com/watch... https://www.numenta.com/technol... [ Jeffrey Hammerbacher is Chief Scientist at Cloudera http://www.charlierose.com/view... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 3 -22 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , sort A Strange Computer Promises Great Speed http://www.nytimes.com/2013... ,
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User interface https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... information density http://hcil.cs.umd.edu/trs... http://hcil.cs.umd.edu/trs... http://www.codinghorror.com/blog... social media UIs , density options? (Facebook Timeline , Google + , density limitations? < not dense enough ) , 4 -9 sort TMI? http://ttbook.org/book... , 6 -3 sort http://www.nytimes.com/interac... , 4 -10 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Speech recognition http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 8 -28 http://www.bloomberg.com/news...
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Solar Toilet Disinfects Waste, Makes Hydrogen Fuel http://www.npr.org/2012... http://blogs.hbr.org/cs... http://thinkprogress.org/climate... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Innovations in Medium of exchange http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Electronic money http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? http://metacurrency.org/ , sort Currency evolved from two basic innovations, both of which had occurred by 2000 BC. Originally money was a form of receipt, representing grain stored in temple granaries in Sumer in ancient Mesopotamia, then Ancient Egypt. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 8 -22 http://www.ingenesist.com/general...
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Mechatronics http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Mechatronics is the combination of Mechanical engineering, Electronic engineering, Computer engineering, Software engineering, Control engineering, and Systems Design engineering in order to design and manufacture useful products , Biomechatronics http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Envisioning emerging technology
for 2012 and beyond http://envisioningtech.com/envisio... , 8 -26 Who is worse? Those who think progress will be easy? Or those who deny progress at all? http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2012... In fact, we may have a chance to create a fantastic new civilization on this planet, by returning to and enhancing the Enlightenment methods that brought us to this party. Methods like transparency and reciprocal accountability and divided power and pragmatic negotiation that have nothing whatsoever to do with "left" or "right" but that are deeply threatened by one side in our current culture war. ,sort http://www.philosopher.org.uk/enl...
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Digital mapping http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , Seeing the World in a Different Way Through Digital Maps http://www.youtube.com/watch... , 10 -31 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... sort http://threads2.scripting.com/2012... , Google Earth 7.0 (beta) - Oct 31, 2012 (Desktop) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 11 -1 sort later http://techland.time.com/2012... , 11 -2 http://www.technologyreview.com/feature...
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CES http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 1 -7 http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observa... , 1 -15 http://www.youtube.com/watch...
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Solve for X http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... https://www.solveforx.com/ , 2 -10 sort to William Janeway: A Golden Age, if We Want It http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2013... http://www.slate.com/article...
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Neal Stephenson’s Hieroglyph Project Launches http://blog.longnow.org/02013... http://hieroglyph.asu.edu/
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Technology readiness level http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , [ sort James Dyson Award http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 1 -18 charlie rose james dyson http://www.businessweek.com/videos... http://www.bing.com/videos...
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Loudspeakers 3 -4 sort top-10-emerging-technologies https://agenda.weforum.org/2015...
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Hydrogen Technologies http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 7 -1 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://auto.howstuffworks.com/fuel-ef... http://www.fsec.ucf.edu/en... http://www.netl.doe.gov/technol... http://www.jcoal.or.jp/overvie... http://asyncbrain.baf.cz/sanator... http://www.oilcrash.com/article... http://www.oilempire.us/hydroge... http://large.stanford.edu/courses...
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Personal rapid transit http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... sort http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Vactrain http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Hyperloop http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 7 -19 Evacuated Tube Transportation Technology - ET3 (Extended Version) http://www.youtube.com/watch... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 8 -12 http://www.businessweek.com/article... http://www.spacex.com/sites... , http://www.ted.com/talks... http://www.popularmechanics.com/technol... http://www.scribd.com/doc... 12 -4 http://www.citylab.com/tech...
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Google X Head on Moonshots: 10X Is Easier Than 10 Percent http://www.wired.com/opinion... Astro Teller http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://astroteller.net/talks... http://www.businessweek.com/videos... http://friendfeed.com/citizen... , 9 -19 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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1 -11 Internet of things http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://www.symplio.com/2011... http://techcrunch.com/2013... Bill Joy’s six Webs are:
1. The Near Web: This is the Internet that you see when you lean over a screen - like a laptop.
2. The Here Web. This is the Internet that is always with you because you accesses it through a device you always carry - like a cell phone.
3. The Far Web. This is the Internet you see when you sit back from a big screen - like a television or a kiosk.
4. The Weird Web. This is the Internet you access through your voice and which you listen to - say when you are in your car, or when you talk to an intelligent system on your phone, or when you ask your camera a question. Joy concedes that this Web does not yet fully exist.
5. B2B. This is an Internet which does not possess a consumer interface, where business machines talk to other business machines. It is chatter of corporations amongst themselves when they do not care about their human drones.
6. D2D. This is the Internet of sensors deployed in meshes networks, adjusting urban systems for maximum efficiency. This Web also does not yet exist. Joy says that it will embed machine intelligence in ordinary, daily life. http://www.technologyreview.com/view... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://www.wired.com/gadgetl... 1 -18 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Ubiquitous computing may be seen to consist of many layers, each with their own roles, which together form a single system:
Layer 1: task management layer
Monitors user task, context and index
Map user's task to need for the services in the environment
To manage complex dependencies
Layer 2: environment management layer
To monitor a resource and its capabilities
To map service need, user level states of specific capabilities
layer 3: environment layer
To monitor a relevant resource
To manage reliability of the resources
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1 -18 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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CES 2014 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [Li-Fi http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[ 1 -9 Laser diode http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[[ Steam Machine http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[[[ http://www.lidarmap.org/confere... http://www.lidarmap.org/images... http://www.lidarmap.org/confere... [[[[[ http://www.ayrstone.com/wp... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 1 -10 http://techland.time.com/2014... 1 -11 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://friendfeed.com/citizen... 1 -12 http://techland.time.com/2014... 1 -16 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news... http://www.bbc.co.uk/news... http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2014...
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4 -2 3D printing https://www.kickstarter.com/project...
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Microelectromechanical_systems#Applications http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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8 -9 Brain-computer_interface http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Transducers A transducer is a device, usually electrical, electronic, electro-mechanical, electromagnetic, photonic, or photovoltaic that converts one type of energy to another for various purposes including measurement or information transfer. In a broader sense, a transducer is sometimes defined as any device that converts a signal from one form to another. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[[ 1 -25 http://www.npr.org/program...
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7 -19 sort
Kevin Kelly
July 17 at 2:43pm · Edited ·
I wrote up some essential techno skills for tomorrow. What am I missing?
• Anything you buy, you must maintain. A purchase is just the beginning. You can expect to devote as much money/time in maintaining a technology as you did in acquiring and installing it.
• Acquire at the last possible moment. Technologies improve so fast you should postpone getting anything until 5 minutes before you need it. Then accept the fact that anything you buy is already obsolete.
• You will be newbie forever. Get good at the beginner mode: learning new programs, asking dumb questions, making stupid mistakes, soliciting help.
• Often learning a new tool requires unlearning old ones. The habits of using a land line phone don't work in email or cell phone. The habits of email don't work in twitter. The habits of twitter won't work in what is next. Try to leave the old habits behind when venturing to new forms.
• Take sabbaticals. Once a week let go of your tools. Once a year take a break from the whole system gracefully. Once in your life step back completely and turn everything off until your soul says to turn it back on. You'll return with renewed enthusiasm and perspective.
• Keep it easy to switch. You will leave the tool you are using today at some time in the near future. How easy will it be to leave? If leaving forces you to leave all your data behind, or to learn a new way of typing, or to surrender four other technologies you were still using, then maybe this is not the best one to start.
• Quality is not always related to price. Sometimes expensive gear is better, sometimes the least expensive is best for you. Most folks don’t ever use the premium features they paid for. And 95% of most tools are abandonded before they wear out. Quality is related to your personal use.
• For every expert opinion that you find online, seek out an equal but opposite expert opinion somewhere else. Don’t rely on raves only. If you have not heard any negatives, you have not yet found all the opinions.
• You don’t need to understand the mechanics of a new technology before you start using it. The best way to understand it is to use it.
• Tools are metaphors that shape how you think. What embedded assumptions does the new tool make? Does it assume right-handedness, or literacy, or a password, or a place to throw it away? Where the defaults are set can reflect a tool's bias. You should ask yourself what does this technology assume?
• What other thing do you give up? This one has taken me a long time to learn. The only way to take up a new technology is to reduce an old one in my life already. Social media, for instance, must come at the expense of something else I was doing -- even if it was just daydreaming.
• Every new technology will bite back. The more powerful its gifts, the more powerfully it can be abused. Look for its costs.
• Risks are relative. The risks of a new technology can’t be evaluation alone; they must be compared to the risks of the older technology, or no technology. For instance the risks of a new dental MRI must be compared to the risks of an old x-ray, or to the risks of no x-ray and getting cavities. The costs of the new must be compared to costs of the old.
• Be suspicious of any technology that requires walls to prevent access. If you can’t fix it, modify it or hack it yourself, that is a sign.
* Teaching others what you learn (like posting solutions to things you figured out) is the best way to keep learning about a technology yourself.
• The proper response to a stupid technology is not to outlaw it but to make a better one yourself, just as the proper response to a stupid idea is not to outlaw it but to replace it with a better idea.
• Nobody has any idea of what a new invention will really be good for, including its inventors. You can’t evaluate new things by merely thinking about them. To evaluate, try it, then think.
• The second order effects of technology usually only arrive when everyone has one, or it is present everywhere. Drones are cool, but what if everyone has one hovering over their shoulder?
• The older the technology, the more likely it will continue to be useful. It may need to find a more limited new job, but don’t dismiss it. Some of the best new things are old things re-imagined.
• Find the minimum amount of technology that will maximize your options.
Michael Brodeur, Josh Wolfe, Sarah Cone and 98 others like this.
56 shares
Liz Bailey * If it stops working, keep pushing buttons until something happens.
July 17 at 2:47pm · 2
Alan Chamberlain • Strive for platform integration. Desktop, laptop, tablet and phone should interoperate seamlessly. See also: Android/Chrome.
July 17 at 3:19pm
Carl Myhill 'be big enough to listen carefully and respectfully to the views of others, as you always do sir. in fact, actively seek those views, as you do here.
July 17 at 3:27pm
Jiamin Zhao Know how to search, both programmatically and intuitively.
July 17 at 3:29pm · 1
Alan Chamberlain • The best way to get good information is not to ask for it, but to post bad information.
July 17 at 3:29pm · 3
Geoffrey Day Do not be afraid of last year's technology - often it is more tested and there are frequently more experts around familiar with it - especially if it is software or computer related. Last year's (or older) technology can also be purchased much cheaper...See More
July 17 at 3:45pm
Don Richardson For Henry David Thoreau's birthday on July 12, I posted his quote: "Men have become the tools of their tools". Current events suggest that's negative, but your checklist/essay makes me wonder if we maintain positive control of our personal tech culture, perhaps that can be good thing.
July 17 at 4:13pm
Christopher Carfi All connected technologies will share (or leak) information about your location, preferences, behavior, friends and/or love life. Understand the sharing characteristics of a technology before using it.
July 17 at 4:44pm
Andrew Marchant-Shapiro This repeats some of what's been said already: If you can't fix it, it owns you.
July 17 at 4:58pm
Gil Friend Typical wise Kevin Kelly stuff
July 17 at 5:38pm · 1
Michael Krakovskiy A multitasking tool can be better than unitasker (sharp knife vs pencil sharpener), but could also be much worse. Many technologies have a Concorde moment. Becoming a collector is a real danger for any tool aficionado. Newer tech is usually more fragile.
July 17 at 6:39pm
Adam Fields Sometimes it's worthwhile to spend half the money and upgrade twice as often. Sometimes the other way around.
July 17 at 7:11pm
Andrew Brown If all else fails, power cycling, is still one of the best debugging tools!
July 17 at 7:17pm
Tony Levelle the implications of truly transformative technology are invisible to just about everyone when the technology first appears. thats why it is able to change the world. it arrives 'under the radar'
July 17 at 8:38pm · 1
Tony Levelle excellent list, btw
July 17 at 8:39pm · 1
Rich Porcher * don't theorize on a new technology. Do as Kevin Kelly does, that is to say: just watch carefully and tell
July 17 at 11:33pm
Antonio Santos Please read this zeero.org
Yesterday at 1:34am
Melissa Keyes " Then accept the fact that anything you buy is already obsolete." Just try to tell camera nuts that...
Yesterday at 8:10am
Ben Keating Amazing notes thanks for sharing, KK!
14 hrs
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4 -21 Intelligent_personal_assistant http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Building an Open 'Internet of Things' http://www.sciencefriday.com/segment... Home Automation is an EasyHard problem http://jenson.org/easyhard/ As Objects Go Online
The Promise (and Pitfalls) of the Internet of Things http://www.foreignaffairs.com/article... 3 -22 http://www.wired.com/beyond_...
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NASA spin offs http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://spinoff.nasa.gov/ http://gizmodo.com/nasas-a... [ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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4 -19 Temporary internet martial law http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... dealing with looters -violators of a a flaw are subject to Guantanamo detainment? Edit when less pissed off
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You can land a man on the moon but you can't ... , You can spend a gazillion dollars on security but can't stop credit card fraud bullshit , crime and ? [[ We can ... [[[ You = foxes? [[[[ 4 -19 edited move Robocaller scammers *¥£€! Cussing bleeping bleepers ^ [ Who can't or won't fix? ^ [[ What's in your wallet? < You son of a biscuit eater! [[[ Rachel at cardholder services is in need of some cruel and unusual punishment ... Pilloried http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 8 -9 http://time.com/3094404... [[[[[ Elizabeth Warren https://friendfeed.com/citizen... [[[[[[[[[ Fraudwatch Network http://www.aarp.org/money... 4 -24 http://www.psmag.com/navigat...
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5 -13 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://io9.com/a-key-r...
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Technology and culture can “shape” or “influence” each another if and only if one proceeds from the assumption that they are separable, conceptually or semantically. For most of the past two centuries this has effectively been the case, but it is has not always been so. Until about 1800, the word “culture” in English referred to husbandry—that is, to techniques for tending crops and domesticated animals, including selective breeding. Sometimes it was used interchangeably with the world “coulter,” which is a part of a plough. Technology and culture used to be very closely aligned, so much so that it was difficult to imagine the one apart from the other. https://medium.com/futuris... 7 -15 https://friendfeed.com/citizen...
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8 -28 Steven Johnson PBS show How we got to Now http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? Oct 15 ? [[[[[[ 9 -24 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Technological self-efficacy (TSE) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... is “the belief in one’s ability to successfully perform a technologically sophisticated new task”.[1] This is a specific application of the broader and more general construct of self-efficacy, which is defined as the belief in one’s ability to engage in specific actions that result in desired outcomes.[2] Self efficacy does not focus on the skills one has, but rather the judgments of what one can do with his or her skills. Traditionally, a distinguishing feature of self efficacy is its domain-specificity. In other words, judgments are limited to certain types of performances as compared to an overall evaluation of his or her potential. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... sort http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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10 -30 sort OLED TV http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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PayPal_Mafia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Peter_Thiel http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? [[ [[[ 9 -26 Nick_Bostrom http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://www.theguardian.com/books...
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3 -15 Fusion http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ 3 -22 Small_modular_reactor http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[ The high beta fusion reactor http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... (also known as the 4th generation prototype T4) is a project being developed by a team led by Charles Chase of Lockheed Martin’s Skunk Works. The "high beta" configuration allows a compact fusion reactor design and speedier development timeline. It was first presented at the Google Solve for X forum on February 7, 2013.
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"paradise engineering" ? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? [[[[[[[ 1 -5 CES 2015 http://getprismatic.com/story...
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3 -3 Technological_change http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Innovation http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Science,_technology_and_society http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Disruptive_innovation http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ] [ Politics { Scoundrels- BS Malfeasant http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Axiology
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4 -3 Utility http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...
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Who moved my cheese? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ ff Cloud http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... dissipation [[ Iteration loss { copies of copies of copies {{ non transferables [[[[[[ crashed drives life goes on ... Soul suckage, rat pushing the bar sort http://www.huffingtonpost.com/andrew-... ([{ loss of useful utility examples Google reader why? Time Investment equations ? Contracts ? One sided commitments? Up the ante on Facebook or Google + is going down = fuck this micro blog shit ... ? PBS Public Library type model micro blogs http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? Microsoft record on keeping legacy stuff going ? Facebook necessary modifications! Fuckwit de amplifier? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Endless non stopable Lame game spam , better now?
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https://xkcd.com/1506/ Who moved my cheese? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ ff Cloud http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... dissipation [[ Iteration loss { copies of copies of copies {{ non transferables [[[[[[ crashed drives life goes on ... Soul suckage, rat pushing the bar sort http://www.huffingtonpost.com/andrew-... ([{ loss of useful utility examples Google reader why? Time Investment equations ? Contracts ? One sided commitments? Up the ante on Facebook or Google + is going down = fuck this micro blog shit ... ? PBS Public Library type model micro blogs http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? 4 -2 idea of mutual beneficence for all ... ?
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Social_network_aggregation http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... with good search also [[[[[ by the wayside in the ditches { meaningless mondegreen phrase lock on tangent http://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics... fall+by+the+wayside http://idioms.thefreedictionary.com/fall+by... pavlov's dog - rats pushing bar
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